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Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (07:00 GMT)

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Re: Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (07:00 GMT)
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Windsor Brokers
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Re: Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (07:00 GMT) - January 14th, 2014

EURUSD

The Euro maintains positive near-term tone and attempts above consolidation top at 1.3686, with price action being underpinned by hourly 55DMA. Positive 4-hour studies see the upside favored in the near-term, with break above initial resistance at 1.3686, also near 50% retracement of 1.3817/1.3547 downleg, to open next barrier at 1.3714, Fibonacci 61.8% and 1.3753, 76.4% retracement in extension. Sustained break above 1.37 hurdle is required to expose strong 1.38 resistance zone and confirm near-term base at 1.3547. Initial support lies at 1.3650, 55DMA, below which comes 1.3636, consolidation floor / Fibonacci 38.2% of 1.3547/1.3698 upleg and 1.3623/00, 50% / 61.8%/trendline support, loss of which to bring bears in play and risk return to key 1.3547 support, 09/01 low / daily 100DMA.

Res: 1.3700; 1.3715; 1.3753; 1.3800
Sup: 1.3636; 1.3623; 1.3600; 1.3567





GBPUSD

Cable lost ground after repeated rejection at 1.65 barrier triggered sharp two-legged fall that nearly fully retraced 1.6336/1.6515 upleg on a dip to 1.6345. Freshly established bears on lower timeframes and formation of lower top at 1.6515, see increased downside risk for break below 1.6336 handle towards immediate supports at 1.6316, higher platform / Fibonacci 38.2% of 1.5853/1.6602 and psychological 1.6300 support, also Fibonacci 76.4% expansion of the third wave from 1.6515, below which the wave could extend to 1.6234, its 100% expansion and 1.6212, 17/12 low. Conversely, holding above 1.6336, would prolong consolidation and signal basing attempt, with bounce through pivotal 1.6430/40 barriers, required to confirm.

Res: 1.6427; 1.6445; 1.6464; 1.6500
Sup: 1.6400; 1.6366; 1.6345; 1.6336




USDJPY

The pair lost ground after last Friday’s upside rejection on approach to key 105.40 barrier and subsequent acceleration through trendline support and 104 base. Fresh extension lower cracked 103.00, psychological support / Fibonacci 61.8% retracement of 101.60/105.43 ascend. Negative near-term technicals keep the downside in focus, with corrective action on oversold hourlies, seen preceding fresh weakness. Bounce from fresh low at 102.84, through initial barrier at 103.55 needs to clear 103.69/80, 55DMA / Fibonacci 38.2% of 105.34/102.84 and regain important 104.00 handle, to avert immediate downside risk. Otherwise, lower top formation and further retracement towards 102.50, Fibonacci 76.4% of 101.60/105.43 and 102.00, psychological support / Fibonacci 38.2% of larger 96.55/105.43 ascend, would be likely near-term scenario.

Res: 103.80; 104.00; 104.39; 104.75
Sup: 103.22; 102.84; 102.50; 102.14





AUDUSD

The pair regained strength and eventually broke above three-week congestion top at 0.9000, with fresh extension to 0.9084, 76.4% retracement of 0.9165/0.8819 downleg, signaling further recovery. Break above psychological 0.9100 barrier and regain of key barrier at 0.9165, 10/12 high, is required to neutralize bears and confirm base at 0.8820 zone. However, corrective pullback on overbought conditions of 1 and 4-hour chart studies, would delay fresh upside attempts, with dips facing initial support at 0.9000, Fibonacci 38.2% of 0.8879/0.9084 upleg, reinforced by hourly 55DMA and 0.8982, 50% retracement, where further dips should be contained.

Res: 0.9044; 0.9083; 0.9100; 0.9165
Sup: 0.9000; 0.8982; 0.8957; 0.8927

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Re: Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (07:00 GMT)
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Windsor Brokers
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Re: Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (07:00 GMT) - January 20th, 2014

EURUSD

The Euro ended week at the back foot and closed near psychological 1.35 support, after losing 1.3580 platform and previous low at 1.3547, posted on 09 Jan. Bears remain firmly in play on near-term studies, with break below 1.35 handle expected to open 1.3479, Fibonacci 61.8% expansion of the third wave from 1.3698, ahead of double-Fibonacci support at 1.3430 zone, 76.4% expansion and 76.4% retracement of 1.3294/1.3892 upleg. Bears may be delayed by corrective rallies, as hourly RSI emerges out of oversold zone, while 4-hour studies are extended. Initial resistance lies at 1.3560, Fibonacci 38.2% of 1.3648/1.3506 downleg, ahead of more significant 1.3580, previous base and 50% retracement, reinforced by hourly 55DMA, and psychological / Fibonacci 61.8% resistance at 1.3600, where rallies should be capped.

Res: 1.3560; 1.3580; 1.3600; 1.3620
Sup: 1.3506; 1.3479; 1.3430; 1.3400





GBPUSD

Cable regained positive tone on last Friday’s strong rally off 1.6307 low that peaked at 1.6457, being capped by descending trendline from 1.6602 peak. Corrective pullback was so far contained at 1.64 zone, Fibonacci 38.2% of 1.6307/1.6457 upleg / hourly 55DMA, however, momentum-losing near-term technicals see risk of further easing, in case price fails to break trendline resistance at 1.6440 and previous peak at 1.6457. This would signal continuation of larger downtrend towards initial support at 1.6336, 06 Jan low and last week’s low at 1.6307. Conversely, lift above the first pivot at 1.6457, would open next strong barriers at 1.6500/15.

Res: 1.6440; 1.6457; 1.6500; 1.6515
Sup: 1.6393; 1.6364; 1.6336; 1.6307





USDJPY

The pair remains at the back foot and extends corrective phase off 14093 peak, with probe below 104 handle, testing 103.90, previous low and 50% retracement of 102.64/104.93. Negatively aligned hourly studies keep the downside at risk, especially if the price loses important 104.00/103.90 support, while slight positive tone exists on 4-hour studies. Holding above 103.90 would be a signal of further consolidation, as last Friday’s Doji shows indecision. On the upside, initial barrier lies at 104.47, while regain of more important 104.93/105 handle, is required to confirm bulls back in play for eventual attempt towards key 104.40/43 peaks. Otherwise, further weakness below 103.90, would face Fibonacci supports at 103.64 and 103.33, 61.8% and 76.4% of 102.84/104.93, with psychological 103.00 level seen in extension.

Res: 104.47; 104.93; 105.05; 105.34
Sup: 103.89; 103.64; 103.33; 103.00





AUDUSD

The pair remains in narrow range consolidative phase, after posting fresh low at 0.8755, with near-term tone being negatively aligned. Overall picture remains bearish and favors further downside, as acceleration through previous base at 0.8820 and psychological 0.8800 support signals resumption of larger downtrend towards next targets at 0.8576/43, Feb 2010 low / 50% retracement of multi-year 0.6007/1.1079 rally. Corrective rallies on oversold near-term studies, face initial barrier at 0.8820 zone, previous low / consolidation top / 4-hour 20DMA, ahead of 0.8881, Fibonacci 38.2% of 0.9084/0.8755 / 55DMA, break of which to sideline immediate downside risk and allow for stronger bounce.

Res: 0.8826; 0.8863; 0.8881; 0.8900
Sup: 0.8755; 0.8733; 0.8700; 0.8658

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Re: Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (07:00 GMT)
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Windsor Brokers
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Re: Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (07:00 GMT) - January 21st, 2014

EURUSD

The Euro consolidates above fresh low at 1.3506, with the upside attempts being limited by hourly 55DMA /daily 100DMA / daily cloud base at 1.3566. Weak near-term studies do not see much of the upside prospect for now, as layers of strong resistances lay above, with the next ones at 1.3580, previous base and 38.2% retracement of 1.3698/1.3506 and 1.36 zone, 50% retracement / daily cloud top / 4-hour 55DMA, above which comes double-Fibonacci barrier at 1.3625 and lower top of 16 Jan at 1.3648. Only break here would neutralize near-term bears and turn near-term focus towards the upside. Otherwise, lower top, ideally around 1.36 handle, where broken bull-trendline off 1.2754 low reinforces barrier and fresh weakness, is seen as preferred near-term scenario. Break below 1.35 handle to resume weakness off 1.3892 top and expose 1.3435, Fibonacci 76.4% of 1.3294/1.3892 and psychological 1.3400 support.

Res: 1.3566; 1.3580; 1.3600; 1.3625
Sup: 1.3506; 1.3460; 1.3430; 1.3400







GBPUSD

Cable trades in near-term consolidative mode, with price action entrenched within 1.6457/1.6393. The pair is so far unable to clearly break above bear-trendline off 1.6602 peak, currently at 1.6430 and last Friday’s peak at 1.6457 that keeps the downside risk in play. However, near-term technicals remain positively aligned, with hourly studies lacking momentum for now. Sustained break above 1.6457 is required to resume rally off 1.6393 and confirm bottom at 1.6393 that would open next significant barrier at 1.6515, 10 Jan lower top, for retest. Otherwise, downside risk would increase in case of violation of initial support and higher base at 1.64 zone.

Res: 1.6457; 1.6500; 1.6515; 1.6577
Sup: 1.6422; 1.6409; 1.6393; 1.6364






USDJPY

The pair regained strength after finding ground at 103.90 support zone, as fresh rally approaches initial barrier at 104.93. Break here is required to complete 104.93/103.85 corrective phase and confirm higher low formation for fresh attempt towards key hurdles at 105.40 zone. Positive near-term technicals support the notion, with overbought hourly studies seeing possible hesitation on approach. Downside should be ideally protected at 104.40, hourly 20DMA / hourly Kijun-sen line, to keep freshly established bulls off 103.85 intact. Otherwise, lower top formation and return to initial 103.90 support zone, with increased downside risk, would be likely scenario.

Res: 104.78; 104.93; 105.05; 105.34
Sup: 104.56; 104.40; 104.13; 103.89






AUDUSD

The pair remains in narrow range consolidative phase, after posting fresh low at 0.8755, with near-term tone being negatively aligned. Overall picture remains bearish and favors further downside, as acceleration through previous base at 0.8820 and psychological 0.8800 support signals resumption of larger downtrend towards next targets at 0.8576/43, Feb 2010 low / 50% retracement of multi-year 0.6007/1.1079 rally. Corrective rallies on oversold near-term studies remain capped at range top t 0.8830 zone, previous low / consolidation top / 4-hour 20DMA that keep the upside attempts limited. Only extension above 0.8881, Fibonacci 38.2% of 0.9084/0.8755 and psychological 0.8900 barrier would provide near-term relief.

Res: 0.8836; 0.8863; 0.8881; 0.8900
Sup: 0.8775; 0.8755; 0.8733; 0.8700

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Re: Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (07:00 GMT)
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Windsor Brokers
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Re: Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (07:00 GMT) - January 22nd, 2014

EURUSD

The Euro remains in near-term consolidative mode above fresh low at 1.3506, with probe above initial 1.3560 barrier, being for now capped at the next hurdle at 1.3580. However, positive tone, established on hourly chart, sees potential for fresh upside attempts, with sustained break above 1.3580 and more significant 1.3600 barrier, 50% retracement of 1.3698/1.3506 / daily Kijun-sen line / broken bull-trendline off 1.2754, required to spark stronger recovery. On the other side, negative 4-hour / daily studies, see the upside actions limited, as failure at 1.36 would keep the sideways mode in play, with the downside remaining vulnerable. Break below 1.35 support will be seen as a trigger of fresh extension of near-term downtrend from 1.3892, 27 Dec peak.

Res: 1.3580; 1.3600; 1.3625; 1.3648
Sup: 1.3535; 1.3506; 1.3460; 1.3430





GBPUSD

Fresh bulls came in play as the price broke above near-term triangular consolidation and bear-trendline off 1.6602 peak, signaling attack at important 1.6515 barrier, 10 Jan lower top. Positive near-term studies support the advance, with corrective action on overbought hourly studies, expected to ideally find footstep at 1.6450/40 zone, previous consolidation tops / bull-trendline off 1.6307 / hourly 55DMA. Further easing below the latter, however, would delay immediate bulls for deeper pullback. Only loss of 1.64 higher platform would bring bears back in play.

Res: 1.6489; 1.6515; 1.6577; 1.6602
Sup: 1.6450; 1.6440; 1.6400; 1.6376





USDJPY

The pair enters range trading after upside rejection under 104.93 peak, with near-term price action established within 104.75 and 103.90 range. Holding above 104 handle, also near 50% retracement of 102.84/104.93 upleg, would keep the upside in play, as 4-hour studies hold positive tone. Regain of 104.93 and 105 hurdles is required to signal further upside and eventual attack at key 105.40 double-top. Otherwise, loss of higher platform at 103.90 would increase downside risk and formation of lower top at 104.75, as a part of near-term downtrend from 105.43, 02 Jan peak.

Res: 104.56; 104.75; 104.93; 105.05
Sup: 104.13; 103.89; 103.64; 103.30





AUDUSD

The pair regains ground after break above near-term consolidative range and initial barrier at 0.8830, regain the next resistance at 0.8881, Fibonacci 38.2% retracement of 0.9084/0.8755 descend. Further advance is seen favored, as 4-hour studies gained strong momentum, however, overbought hourly conditions see scope for consolidative/corrective action ahead of next barriers at 0.8900/20, round figure / daily 20DMA / 50% retracement. The downside should be ideally protected at 0.8830, previous resistance, to keep fresh bulls intact. Potential stronger recovery would look for 0.9000 and pivotal 0.9084, 13 Jan lower top / daily 55DMA.

Res: 0.8900; 0.8920; 0.8932; 0.8958
Sup: 0.8850; 0.8830; 0.8800; 0.8775


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Re: Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (07:00 GMT)
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Anamika Rai
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Re: Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (07:00 GMT) - January 23rd, 2014

SOYABEAN

• On technical chart soybean Feb. Future trend is sideways where soybean Feb. future has resistance at 3810 on intraday basis while 3680 is a immediate support closing is 3758.
• Momentum indicators RSI is indicating sideways trend.
• Traders are advised to that buy around 3720 with sell of 3680 for the day target of 3780.

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Re: Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (07:00 GMT)
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Re: Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (07:00 GMT) - January 23rd, 2014

Agri Commodity Technical Report 23 January



Soyabean

%u2022 On technical chart soybean Feb. Future trend is sideways where soybean Feb. future has resistance at 3810 on intraday basis while 3680 is a immediate support closing is 3758.
%u2022 Momentum indicators RSI is indicating sideways trend.
%u2022 Traders are advised to that buy around 3720 with sell of 3680 for the day target of 3780.

FUNDAMENTALS:-

Unfavorable weather condition in South America can support to prices from lower levels.



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Re: Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (07:00 GMT)
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Re: Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (07:00 GMT) - January 28th, 2014

EURUSD

The Euro remains in near-term sideways mode under 1.37 barrier that so far offers solid resistance and keeps the upside capped. Hourly structure is neutral, while positive tone prevails on 4-hour chart, keeping the upside favored. With the downside being protected at lowered range floor at 1.3652, near 38.2% retracement of 1.3529/1.3738 and price action underpinned by hourly 55DMA / 4-hour 20DMA / daily cloud top, fresh attacks at 1.37 hurdle will remain in play. Otherwise, further easing below 1.3652 would delay bulls for deeper correction, with 1.36 zone, Fibonacci 61.8% retracement, required to hold. Break above 1.37 and spike high at 1.3615/38, to resume larger rally off 1.3506 and expose 1.38 resistance zone.

Res: 1.3687; 1.3700; 1.3715; 1.3738
Sup: 1.3665; 1.3652; 1.3634; 1.3600






GBPUSD

Cable regained positive tone on extension of bounce from 1.6472, yesterday’s fresh low, as regain of 1.66 handle brought hourly bulls back in play. With 4-hour structure being positive, near-term focus remains at fresh peak at 1.6668. Corrective action, however, is expected to precede fresh rally, with good support at 1.6565, higher platform and 38.2% of 1.6472/1.6623 upleg, reinforced by 55DMA and seen as ideal reversal point. Downside risk would increase in case of stronger reversal and violation of 1.6530, Fibonacci 61.8% retracement and 1.6515, previous high of 10 Jan.

Res: 1.6623; 1.6642; 1.6668; 1.6700
Sup: 1.6587; 1.6565; 1.6530; 1.6515





USDJPY

The pair holds in near-term corrective phase off fresh low at 101.75, following two-legged descend from 104.83, 23 Jan lower top. Overall negative tone, established after repeated rejections at 105 hurdle and acceleration lower, keep the downside favored in the near-term, with fresh leg lower seen on a completion of corrective rally. Crack of initial 102.70 resistance, opens more significant 103.00 barrier, Fibonacci 38.2% of 104.83/101.75 descend, reinforced by hourly 55DMA and pivotal 103.57, 24 Jan lower top / near 61.8% retracement, where rallies should be ideally capped. Otherwise, break here would sideline near-term bears and shift focus higher. Initial support lies at 102.50, daily cloud top, ahead of 102.15 higher low and 101.75 low, loss of which to confirm bearish resumption and expose immediate target at 101.60, 06 Dec low.

Res: 103.16; 103.29; 103.57; 104.00
Sup: 102.50; 102.18; 101.75; 101.60





AUDUSD

The pair regained ground following last week losses, as extension of corrective rally from fresh low at 0.8658, broke above previous base at 0.8755 and cracked psychological 0.8800 barrier, also Fibonacci 61.8% of 0.8886/0.8658 descend, reinforced by 4-hour 55DMA. Positive hourly conditions see potential for further upside, however, weak 4-hour structure, keeps the downside risk in play while barriers at 0.8800/30 stay intact. Clear break here to confirm recovery and open key near-term barrier and breakpoint at 0.8886, 22 Jan high. Alternatively, lower top formation under the latter and fresh leg lower, would be likely near-term scenario.

Res: 0.8832; 0.8886; 0.8921; 0.8950
Sup: 0.8750; 0.8700; 0.8676; 0.8658


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Re: Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (07:00 GMT)
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Re: Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (07:00 GMT) - January 29th, 2014

EURUSD

The Euro’s near-term tone is negatively aligned, as repeated rejection s at 1.37 barrier increased downside pressure. Extension below initial supports at 1.3660/50 tested main bull-trendline off 1.2754, 2013 low at 1.3630, also mid-point of 1.3529/1.3738 upleg, with support being reinforced by daily Tenkan-sen line and 4-hour 55DMA. Larger picture shows neutral tone, as the price consolidates last week’s rally. More bearish tone would be seen in case of violation of 1.3620/00 support zone that will confirm near-term top and expose lower targets at 1.3550 and 1.3500 zone. Otherwise, while 1.3600/20 supports hold, the upside attempts will remain in play in the near-term. Clear break above 1.37 handle is required to confirm bullish resumption.

Res: 1.3687; 1.3700; 1.3715; 1.3738
Sup: 1.3646; 1.3625; 1.3609; 1.3580





GBPUSD

Cable’s hourly structure is neutral, while 4-hour studies maintain positive tone, established on recovery rally from 1.6472 to 1.6623 so far. Narrow consolidation under 1.66 barrier is under way and expected to precede fresh attempt higher, while the price holds above 1.6544/34, bull-trendline off 1.6307 low / yesterday’s pullback low and Fibonacci 61.8% of 1.6472/1.6623 upleg. Break here would bring bears back in play and risk lower top formation.

Res: 1.6593; 1.6623; 1.6642; 1.6668
Sup: 1.6559; 1.6544; 1.6534; 1.6515





USDJPY

The pair remains in near-term corrective phase off fresh low at 101.75, posted on 27 Jan. Hourly structure improves, as the price sustains above 103 barrier, with fresh extension higher retracing over 50% of 104.83/101.75 fall. However, overall negative tone, established after repeated rejections at 105 hurdle and acceleration lower, would keep the downside vulnerable, as 4-hour studies are negative. Regain of previous strong supports at 103.90/104.00 is required to improve and sideline downside risk and shift near-term focus higher. Otherwise, risk of lower top formation would remain in play. Initial supports lay at 103.00 and 102.75, daily cloud top, below which downside acceleration would open 102.50 and 102.18.

Res: 103.43; 103.57; 103.90; 104.22
Sup: 103.00; 102.75; 102.50; 102.18





AUDUSD

The pair holds positive near-term tone, as extension of corrective rally from fresh low at 0.8658 probed above psychological 0.8800 barrier, also Fibonacci 61.8% of 0.8886/0.8658 descend and 4-hour 55DMA. Positive hourly conditions see potential for further upside, as 4-hour studies are gaining momentum. Break above fresh recovery tops at 0.8819/24 to confirm recovery and open key near-term barrier and breakpoint at 0.8886, 22 Jan high, with corrective actions to be ideally contained at 0.8760/50 zone, to keep fresh near-term bulls in play. On the larger picture, however, bears remain firmly in play and see resumption of larger downtrend upon completion of corrective phase.

Res: 0.8824; 0.8856; 0.8886; 0.8921
Sup: 0.8760; 0.8750; 0.8700; 0.8676

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Re: Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (07:00 GMT)
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Re: Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (07:00 GMT) - February 3rd, 2014

EURUSD

The Euro ended week in red, following last week’s sell-off from 1.37 resistance zone, where gains were rejected in several attempts. Fresh acceleration lower eventually broke below near-term platform and congestion floor at 1.35 zone, with fresh low posted at 1.3478, where the price entered consolidative phase. Oversold near-term studies favor further consolidative/corrective action, with initial resistance at 1.35 zone, being tested for now, ahead of 1.3540, 30/31 Jan consolidation floor and 23.6% retracement of 1.3738/1.3478 descend and 1.3580 previous congestion top and Fibonacci 38.2% retracement, where rallies would face solid resistance. Violation of the latter and psychological 1.3600 barrier, 50% retracement / daily Tenkan-sen line, is required to sideline bears. Otherwise fresh leg lower will look for test of initial targets at 1.3457, Fibonacci 38.2% of 1.2754/1.3892; 1.3435, Fibonacci 76.4% of 1.3294/1.3738 upleg and psychological / higher platform support at 1.3400, seen in extension, with 200SMA at 1.3370 expected to come in near-term focus. Negative technicals on the larger picture favor further downside.

Res: 1.3508; 1.3540; 1.3580; 1.3600
Sup: 1.3478; 1.3457; 1.3435; 1.3400







GBPUSD

Cable remains under pressure and ended week in red, as the third wave of the weakness from 1.6668 that commenced from 1.6623, met its 100% expansion at 1.6427, with price probing below psychological / higher platform support at 1.6400. Break lower to open 1.6352, Fibonacci 138.2% expansion, ahead of key near-term support at 1.6307, 17 Jan low, extension to which to confirm full-retracement of 1.6307/1.6667 upleg, with break lower to confirm reversal off 1.6668 and spark stronger correction of broader uptrend that started from 1.48 base. Near-term technicals remain negative, with daily studies building bearish momentum and keeping the downside in near-term focus. Initial resistances lay at 1.6440 and 1.6480, with psychological 1.65 barrier expected to cap corrective rallies.

Res: 1.6440; 1.6480; 1.6500; 1.6525
Sup: 1.6379; 1.6336; 1.6307; 1.6260





USDJPY

The pair remains in near-term consolidative phase above fresh low of 27 Jan at 101.75, with basing attempt seen at 102 support and upside attempts capped at 102.40. Negative tone prevails on lower timeframes studies and keeps the downside under pressure, as long as initial 102.40 barrier caps. Any extension higher would shift focus towards the upper range boundary at 103 zone, Fibonacci 38.2% of 104.83/101.75 / 4-hour 55SMA, above to sideline downside risk and expose pivotal 103.43 barrier, 29 Jan lower top. Otherwise, risk of losing 102.00 and 101.75 handles would remain in play, with fresh bearish extension seen towards strong support at 101.00, round figure support, 50% retracement of 96.55/105.43 ascend and daily 100SMA.

Res: 102.40; 102.80; 103.00; 103.43
Sup: 101.83; 101.75; 101.60; 101.00






AUDUSD

The pair continues to trade within one-week 0.8700/0.8820 range, with neutral tone prevailing in near-term studies. Break of either side of the range is required to define near-term direction, as break higher would signal an end of consolidative phase and resume recovery off 0.8658, with key near-term barrier at 0.8886, 22 Jan high, expected to come in focus. Alternatively, loss of range floor and higher low at 0.8700, which was briefly tested last Friday, would weaken the structure and re-expose key support at 0.8658, 24 Jan fresh low, below which would trigger extension of multi-year downtrend from 1.1079, 2011 peak.

Res: 0.8800; 0.8824; 0.8871; 0.8886
Sup: 0.8737; 0.8709; 0.8676; 0.8658

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Re: Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (07:00 GMT)
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Windsor Brokers
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Re: Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (07:00 GMT) - February 4th, 2014

EURUSD

The Euro trades in near-term corrective phase, off fresh low at 1.3475, where the basing attempt is under way. Positive hourly structure, improved on regain and close above 1.35 handle sees potential for further upside, as the price attempts above yesterday’s highs at 1.3534. Extension to last Friday’s high at 1.3572, also Fibonacci 38.2% of 1.3738/1.3475 descend, is required to confirm near-term bottom and open way for further recovery, however, limited upside action is seen on negative larger timeframes studies. Strong barrier at 1.3 zone, 50% retracement / daily cloud base / Tenkan-sen line, reinforced by daily 20 and 100SMA’s, is seen capping upside attempts for now. On the downside, first support lies at 1.3503, ahead of more significant 1.3475 platform, loss of which to signal resumption of bear-leg from 1.3738 and open 1.3457, Fibonacci 38.2% of 1.2754/1.3892; 1.3435, Fibonacci 76.4% of 1.3294/1.3738 upleg and psychological / higher platform support at 1.3400.

Res: 1.3540; 1.3572; 1.3600; 1.3638
Sup: 1.3503; 1.3475; 1.3457; 1.3435





GBPUSD

Cable remains under strong, as fresh acceleration through psychological 1.64 support, eventually broke below key near-term support and higher low at 1.6307, completing 1.6307/1.6668 bull-leg. Loss of pivotal 1.6307 support, signals further correction of larger 1.5853/1.6668 rally, as the fall cracked 50% retracement at 1.6262, with next targets standing at: 1.6236, 100SMA; 1.6215, daily cloud base; 1.6200, round figure and 1.6164, Fibonacci 61.8% retracement. Overall bearish tone keeps downside firmly in focus, with weakness to be interrupted by corrective rallies on oversold near-term technicals. Previous low at 1.6307 offers initial resistance, ahead of 1.6365, yesterday’s intraday high, with 1.6400 zone, also Fibonacci 38.2% of 1.6623/1.6255 downleg, expected to limit upside attempts.

Res: 1.6315; 1.6365; 1.6400; 1.6440
Sup: 1.6255; 1.6236; 1.6215; 1.6200





USDJPY

The pair came under increased pressure after recovery attempts were capped under 103 barrier and fresh acceleration lower broke below near-term base at 101.75. Fresh bears took out another strong support at 101, 50% retracement of 96.55/105.43 ascend and daily 100SMA, on extension to 100.74 so far. Near-term consolidative phase is under way, with limited upside action seen on overall negative picture. Previous lows at 101.75/83, along with psychological 102.00 barrier, offer solid resistance and should ideally cap recovery rallies, before fresh leg lower. Extension below 100.74 is expected to open psychological 100 support, reinforced by 200SMA.

Res: 101.37; 101.57; 101.75; 102.00
Sup: 100.74; 100.72; 100.00; 99.56





AUDUSD

The pair eventually broke above one week congestion tops at 0.8820 zone, with acceleration higher, clearing another important barrier at 0.8886, 22 Jan lower top and cracking psychological 0.89 barrier. Near-term technicals turned positive on a rally and see scope for further recovery, as the pair has established fresh direction after being congested within 0.8700/0.8820 rage. Immediate target lies at 0.8921, Fibonacci 61.8% retracement of 0.9084/0.8658 downleg, ahead of 0.8983, Fibonacci 76.4% retracement and psychological 0.9000 barrier, also 03 Jan high, seen in extension. Overbought hourly conditions, however, suggest consolidative/corrective action preceding fresh push higher, with previous range tops at 0.8820 zone, expected to contain.

Res: 0.8913; 0.8921; 0.8983; 0.9000
Sup: 0.8860; 0.8824; 0.8800; 0.8770

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